****0000002872****
WTNT80 EGRR 130410



 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC



 AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 13.10.2024



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L        ANALYSED POSITION : 17.7N  31.5W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942024



  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY

  --------------     --------     --------        --------

 00UTC 13.10.2024  17.7N  31.5W     WEAK

 12UTC 13.10.2024  17.8N  33.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 14.10.2024  17.5N  35.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 14.10.2024  17.2N  37.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 15.10.2024  17.2N  39.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 15.10.2024  16.9N  42.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 16.10.2024  16.8N  44.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 16.10.2024  16.9N  48.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 17.10.2024  17.8N  51.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 17.10.2024  18.6N  55.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 18.10.2024  20.8N  57.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 18.10.2024  22.2N  60.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 19.10.2024  23.1N  62.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 19.10.2024  23.6N  65.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 20.10.2024  24.0N  68.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE



    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 35.8N  38.9W



  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY

  --------------     --------     --------        --------

 00UTC 13.10.2024  35.8N  38.9W     WEAK

 12UTC 13.10.2024  37.8N  32.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 14.10.2024  38.2N  26.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 14.10.2024  37.5N  21.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 15.10.2024  38.2N  16.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 15.10.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH



             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS

                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 35.3N  43.3W



  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY

  --------------     --------     --------        --------

 12UTC 13.10.2024  35.3N  43.3W     WEAK

 00UTC 14.10.2024  35.8N  38.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 14.10.2024  34.9N  34.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 15.10.2024  34.1N  28.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 15.10.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE

 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.

 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 130410