****0000000984****
WTXS21 PGTW 181800

RMKS/

1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN

160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.8S 96.8E TO 15.7S 95.0E

WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY

ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.

WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 28 TO 33 KNOTS. METSAT

IMAGERY AT 181200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED

NEAR 13.1S 96.6E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS.

2. REMARKS:

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS.

MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE

POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE

WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.

3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 191800Z.

//

9125031706 103S1012E  20

9125031712 110S1004E  20

9125031718 122S 996E  20

9125031800 126S 987E  25

9125031806 129S 978E  30

9125031812 131S 966E  30

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