****0000001157****
WTXS21 PGTW 232200

RMKS/

1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN

130 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.1S 114.2E TO 17.2S 110.5E

WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY

ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.

WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT

IMAGERY AT 231800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED

NEAR 14.3S 114.0E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06

KNOTS.

2. REMARKS:

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS.

MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE

POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE

WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.

3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 242200Z.

//

9225032100 154S1121E  15

9225032106 152S1124E  15

9225032112 148S1128E  20

9225032118 145S1134E  25

9225032200 138S1140E  25

9225032206 136S1148E  25

9225032212 134S1152E  25

9225032218 130S1153E  25

9225032300 129S1154E  25

9225032306 133S1150E  25

9225032312 139S1145E  25

9225032318 143S1140E  25

NNNN