****0000009877****
WTXS51 PGTW 270900
WARNING ATCG MIL 27S SIO 250327075258
2025032706 27S COURTNEY 010 01 275 10 SATL 060
T000 168S 1000E 080 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 045 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 080 SE QD 095 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 167S 0980E 085 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 169S 0958E 095 R064 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 174S 0935E 100 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 181S 0912E 100 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 202S 0880E 090 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 224S 0872E 075 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T120 237S 0870E 055 R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (COURTNEY) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (COURTNEY) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 16.8S 100.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.8S 100.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 16.7S 98.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.9S 95.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 17.4S 93.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 18.1S 91.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 20.2S 88.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 22.4S 87.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 23.7S 87.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 16.8S 99.5E.
27MAR25. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (COURTNEY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
330 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD
AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 270600Z IS 973 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
272100Z AND 280900Z.
//
2725032100 154S1121E 15
2725032106 152S1124E 15
2725032112 148S1128E 20
2725032118 145S1134E 25
2725032200 138S1140E 25
2725032206 136S1148E 25
2725032212 134S1152E 25
2725032218 130S1153E 25
2725032300 129S1154E 25
2725032306 133S1150E 25
2725032312 139S1145E 25
2725032318 145S1139E 25
2725032400 153S1132E 30
2725032406 160S1120E 30
2725032412 165S1111E 35
2725032418 166S1105E 40
2725032500 167S1100E 40
2725032506 168S1092E 40
2725032512 170S1083E 40
2725032518 173S1072E 45
2725032600 177S1054E 55
2725032600 177S1054E 55
2725032606 177S1041E 60
2725032606 177S1041E 60
2725032612 175S1032E 70
2725032612 175S1032E 70
2725032612 175S1032E 70
2725032618 173S1022E 70
2725032618 173S1022E 70
2725032618 173S1022E 70
2725032700 169S1010E 75
2725032700 169S1010E 75
2725032700 169S1010E 75
2725032706 168S1000E 80
2725032706 168S1000E 80
2725032706 168S1000E 80
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