****0000009131****
WTXS51 PGTW 292100
WARNING ATCG MIL 27S SIO 250329190754
2025032918 27S COURTNEY 015 02 220 12 SATL 020
T000 195S 0893E 125 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 211S 0884E 115 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 227S 0882E 100 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 238S 0886E 085 R064 005 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 035 SE QD 045 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 245S 0889E 070 R064 000 NE QD 015 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 255S 0883E 050 R050 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 005 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 045 NW QD
T096 254S 0863E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (COURTNEY) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (COURTNEY) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291800Z --- NEAR 19.5S 89.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S 89.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 21.1S 88.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 22.7S 88.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 23.8S 88.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 24.5S 88.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 25.5S 88.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 25.4S 86.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
292100Z POSITION NEAR 19.9S 89.1E.
29MAR25. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (COURTNEY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
620 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 291800Z IS 939 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 46 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
300900Z AND 302100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2725032100 154S1121E 15
2725032106 152S1124E 15
2725032112 148S1128E 20
2725032118 145S1134E 25
2725032200 138S1140E 25
2725032206 136S1148E 25
2725032212 134S1152E 25
2725032218 130S1153E 25
2725032300 129S1154E 25
2725032306 133S1150E 25
2725032312 139S1145E 25
2725032318 145S1139E 25
2725032400 153S1132E 30
2725032406 160S1120E 30
2725032412 165S1111E 35
2725032418 166S1105E 40
2725032500 167S1100E 40
2725032506 168S1092E 40
2725032512 170S1083E 40
2725032518 173S1072E 45
2725032600 177S1054E 55
2725032600 177S1054E 55
2725032606 177S1041E 60
2725032606 177S1041E 60
2725032612 175S1032E 70
2725032612 175S1032E 70
2725032612 175S1032E 70
2725032618 173S1022E 70
2725032618 173S1022E 70
2725032618 173S1022E 70
2725032700 169S1010E 75
2725032700 169S1010E 75
2725032700 169S1010E 75
2725032706 168S1000E 80
2725032706 168S1000E 80
2725032706 168S1000E 80
2725032712 168S 992E 90
2725032712 168S 992E 90
2725032712 168S 992E 90
2725032718 167S 981E 85
2725032718 167S 981E 85
2725032718 167S 981E 85
2725032800 167S 972E 80
2725032800 167S 972E 80
2725032800 167S 972E 80
2725032806 168S 957E 85
2725032806 168S 957E 85
2725032806 168S 957E 85
2725032812 171S 946E 110
2725032812 171S 946E 110
2725032812 171S 946E 110
2725032818 174S 931E 115
2725032818 174S 931E 115
2725032818 174S 931E 115
2725032900 176S 921E 115
2725032900 176S 921E 115
2725032900 176S 921E 115
2725032906 180S 910E 120
2725032906 180S 910E 120
2725032906 180S 910E 120
2725032912 186S 901E 130
2725032912 186S 901E 130
2725032912 186S 901E 130
2725032918 195S 893E 125
2725032918 195S 893E 125
2725032918 195S 893E 125
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